Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 4.080039 4.893717 5.801096 6.884132 8.137578 9.538450 11.218215
2025-03-02 2.728475 3.709163 4.920543 6.511473 8.528544 10.982011 14.171039
2025-03-09 2.036277 3.082360 4.490970 6.491947 9.220681 12.766149 17.666749
2025-03-16 1.587553 2.644611 4.179891 6.512487 9.893750 14.531671 21.268313
2025-03-23 1.260603 2.293812 3.901302 6.494310 10.459033 16.156336 24.786646
2025-03-30 0.966103 1.918739 3.503960 6.212206 10.566686 17.100342 27.385883
2025-04-06 0.792381 1.703472 3.313393 6.206014 11.063399 18.624922 30.920792
2025-04-13 0.650149 1.510085 3.120154 6.154677 11.461524 20.008433 34.324826
2025-04-20 0.586157 1.453228 3.156897 6.496464 12.532430 22.522674 39.656328
2025-04-27 0.517562 1.370320 3.128385 6.710350 13.395319 24.754754 44.681479
2025-05-04 0.469737 1.321612 3.156818 7.028845 14.465322 27.400075 50.545873
2025-05-11 0.398053 1.199810 3.014373 6.993869 14.880801 28.951513 54.676475
2025-05-18 0.319899 1.043517 2.775296 6.740980 14.878142 29.803862 57.735881
2025-05-25 0.252651 0.895700 2.526595 6.430235 14.726328 30.372645 60.340042
2025-06-01 0.214916 0.819039 2.429284 6.430342 15.186629 32.085576 65.075290
2025-06-08 0.184476 0.754744 2.349783 6.457563 15.700998 33.930809 70.158938
2025-06-15 0.156969 0.690680 2.258087 6.441920 16.119526 35.616506 75.044209
2025-06-22 0.124585 0.597732 2.069045 6.162600 15.934975 36.105154 77.705099
2025-06-29 0.106414 0.549503 1.994936 6.156735 16.352050 37.812971 82.784271
2025-07-06 0.089814 0.500680 1.908573 6.105851 16.658831 39.313267 87.541605
2025-07-13 0.084891 0.498966 1.966369 6.445339 17.904888 42.830307 96.453690
2025-07-20 0.077440 0.483348 1.977133 6.657786 18.866835 45.808664 104.441739
2025-07-27 0.072715 0.478694 2.023090 6.974136 20.106104 49.447169 113.936254